RNC Chair Predicts GOP Senate Wins Despite Polling Challenges
Republican National Committee Chair Joe Gruters predicted Senate victories in battleground states ahead of midterms, while party leaders prepare for upcoming leadership elections.
FTMQ Politics, written by our newsroom0 views

Republican National Committee Chair Joe Gruters said on Friday evening that he expects the GOP to win key United States Senate races in next week's midterm elections. The Hill reported that Gruters predicted Republican victories in battleground states including Alaska, Texas, Maine, and Ohio. He made the remarks to NewsNation's Blake Burman despite polling figures for the party. Nonpartisan election forecasting partner Decision Desk HQ currently shows those four state contests leaning narrowly toward Democrats. [1]
In Alaska, incumbent Republican Senator Dan S. Sullivan is facing a challenge from Democratic candidate Mary Peltola. Incumbent Sullivan and his allies accused Democrats of attempting to confuse voters by recruiting Dan J. Sullivan to run in the same race, BBC News reported. Peltola denied knowing about any scheme to place two candidates with the same name on the ballot. NPR reported that Alaska's governor ordered an official investigation into claims that Democrats recruited a spoiler candidate. [3][5][9]
The controversy in Alaska follows earlier reports from FTMQ Politics that President Donald Trump suggested Senate Republicans might refuse to seat Peltola if she wins. BBC News noted that the Trump administration is continuing a criminal investigation regarding the ballot issue. [3][12]
Following the general election on November 3, 2026, both Senate and House Republicans will hold internal leadership elections on November 10, Roll Call reported. The contests will determine if Republicans keep current Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Speaker Mike Johnson in top posts if Democrats secure majorities. Senate leadership elections are scheduled to begin on that Tuesday. [2][9]
In short
- RNC Chair Joe Gruters predicted Republican Senate wins in Alaska, Texas, Maine, and Ohio.
- Democratic candidate Mary Peltola denied knowledge of a scheme to put a second Dan Sullivan on the Alaska ballot.
- Alaska's governor ordered an investigation into alleged Democratic recruitment of a spoiler candidate.
- Senate and House Republicans have scheduled leadership contests for November 10.
Sources
Every paragraph above points to the numbered items it rests on. Read the originals here.
- [1]RNC chair predicts GOP Senate wins in Alaska, Texas, 3 other battlegroundsThe Hill, 4d ago (the report this story comes from)
- [2]Senate, House GOP set leadership electionsRoll Call, 4d ago
- [3]Alaska Senate candidate denies knowing about alleged plot to put two Dan Sullivans on ballotBBC News US, 4d ago
- [4]This Could Change Alaska Senate RaceRealClearPolitics, 4d ago
- [5]Alaska's Senate race faces claims of spoiler candidate. And, Hegseth ousts Army generalNPR Politics, 4d ago
- [6]This Could Change Alaska Senate RaceRealClearPolitics, 4d ago
- [7]How the New York Times broke the story on secret candidate recruiting in Alaska's Senate raceAlaska Public Media, 5d ago
Background
- [8]2026 United States Senate election in Georgia on Wikipedia
- [9]2026 United States Senate election in Alaska on Wikipedia
- [10]2026 United States Senate election in Texas on Wikipedia
- [11]Alaska on Grokipedia
- [12]Trump suggests Senate Republicans might refuse to seat Mary Peltola FTMQ Politics, 5d ago
Our newsroom writes these reports with the help of software, from the 12 sources listed and nothing else, and checks them against those sources. Facts can still be wrong or move on; the originals are the record. Spotted a mistake? Write to daniel@monsterkong.com.
Related from FTMQ Politics
Earlier reports of ours on the same people and subjects.
- Voters prepare for midterm elections to determine control of CongressCongress, 2d ago
- Trump suggests Senate Republicans might refuse to seat Mary PeltolaWhite House, 5d ago
- Supreme Court permits New Hampshire to block student voter identificationTop Stories, 12d ago
- Donald Trump Campaigns for Dan Sullivan in Alaska Senate RaceTop Stories, 21d ago
- House committee chair rejects Sam Altman views on artificial intelligence risksCongress, 29d ago
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